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A friend in the wisdom of the Everbright Forum asked me: What are the current world conflicts? What contradiction is the principal contradiction? These contradictions will evolve? Then I talk about my view point, whether by not withstand the test of practice, can be considered one of the see you. Welcome friends make their own comments and suggestions.

I. What are the current world conflicts?

Should be, the world is facing many contradictions, there are environmental problems, there is racial discrimination, there is terrorism, there are territorial disputes issue, the values of civilization conflict, and so on. Contradiction here thinking we should have three characteristics: First, have the national will. That such conflicts rise to the strategic conflict between states, only a duel, and irreconcilable with the nature of the conflict will rise to the will of the state. Through the state machinery to resolve such conflicts. Second, it is comprehensive. The overall, refers to this contradiction, a country, a regional and global present and future have a profound and overall impact, or even decide the structure of state power, regional and even global strategic stability and system setup. Third, objectivity. That this contradiction is an objective existence, is the national will of the strategic conflict between the inner.
If these three characteristics to analyze the contradictions in the world, you can find the world’s conflicts can be summarized into three levels: the first level of conflict is a super strong and more strategic contradictions between. The United States dominate the world of strategic intent, action and a lot of powerful multi-polarization between strategic intent and strategic action conflicts and contradictions. This contradiction directly affect the stability of the global strategic situation and development trend. The second level is a lot of powerful contradictions between the strategies. That is more powerful because of strategic interests between the existing strategic conflicts and contradictions. This contradiction direct impact on regional stability and future development trends. The third level is between countries, and even conflicts within countries. Such conflicts often affect the stability of the parties and trends.
These three conflicts are interrelated and influence each other. We look at these contradictions, to use dialectical perspective, the development of vision systems perspective, to analyze, to grasp the existence and development of the law of contradiction.
Second, the principal contradiction is what?
The current world of contradictions, is a super strong and more conflict between the. Hegemony strategic pattern, with the collapse of the former Soviet Union’s collapse, the United States by launching series of wars, built the world’s one superpower and several strategic situation, the United States will lead the development of the world, so U.S. forces rule the world, which is the world reality.
As a result of U.S. strategic blunders decline, and the strength of a lot of powerful growth strategy, the U.S. strategic situation dominated by one superpower, challenged more and more unstable. Change from the situation in Latin America, the situation changes from Central Asia, the situation changes from the Middle East, the situation changes from Northeast Asia, and even from the Somali pirates who, we all saw this instability. The root causes of this instability is the more powerful influence in the regions growth, began to challenge or even surpass the United States in the region of influence and control, the situation in the region has moved toward two sides, two sides of the root cause of this is one superpower and many contradictions between the intensification of the results.
Contradictions exist objectively, while the main aspects of the principal contradiction is objective reality. The main aspect refers to what? Which means more than a super-strong and contradictions, is the principal contradiction of the main aspects. This is a look at what a lot of powerful challenge of a super-lethal, can not be reconciled, timeliness decision. Of course, if more than a good strong strategic coordination, so that an ultra-loss, can not decide which focus more strongly against it, it means the main aspect is dynamic, changes.
Of course, the world’s principal contradiction is not static. When the world strategic situation from the one superpower and several strategies evolved into multi-polar pattern, the more powerful the strategic conflict between, it rose to the world’s principal contradiction. Strong in which more than two parties or the strategic conflict between a few large, can not be reconciled, then became the principal contradiction of the main aspects. This is something put aside.
From the contradictions of view, no matter how strong pattern in a super-or multi-polar pattern during the period, diplomacy is very important. This is why in our Spring and Autumn period, Three Kingdoms period, have had a great strategists, strategists, their thoughts directly spawned the great diplomat, strategist. One superpower and many of the strategic pattern, similar to the Spring and Autumn Period in ancient China, multi-polar strategic pattern, similar to the Warring States period in ancient China, the Three Kingdoms period.
Third, the world’s strategic situation will evolve?
The principal contradiction in the world today, and the principal contradiction, we have analyzed very clear, from this perspective to analyze the evolution of world strategic pattern, relatively clear and simple. Strategy in the pattern of one superpower and several multi-polar strategic situation over the period, the world situation will show the following features and phenomena.
(A) point of global conflicts to increase, significantly increased regional war.

The collapse of the former Soviet Union after the collapse of the bipolar structure, so that the United States to take the opportunity to build a very dominate the strategic situation. The so-called Gulf War, Kosovo War, Afghanistan and Iraq, the United States build a very powerful means to dominate the world. Four wars, the U.S. forces have been high noon, the United States will run through the world. Therefore, the U.S. now do not care about the United Nations, and even the United Nations are not willing to pay dues, why? Plainly, not that that the United Nations does not use restricted U.S. operations will not only not used in the U.S., and become a drag on the U.S. ruling the world.

More powerful influence in the region and control gradually increased, if such forces to the extent sufficient to counter U.S. influence in the region and control the time, so potential strategic conflicts may develop into a regional war reality. With the completion of a lot of powerful global distribution, the world must show increased local war situation, a direct challenge to U.S. global control and influence.

If the United States to compromise, it means that the United States will gradually lose control over the plate and influence, while the more powerful of the plate will gradually master the political, economic, military and cultural development initiative, and gradually form a new pattern of regional strategy This new pattern of regional strategy development and deepening of the world will inevitably bring about a new strategic situation created multipolar birth.

(2) Key areas of focus of national or regional, national or regional situation in the possibility of increasing chaos.

In a super-strong battle with a number of processes, some key areas, some key countries or regions become regional wars or civil strife-hit areas. Such as the Middle East, such as Central Asia, some countries, such as certain African countries, such as America, some countries, such as Southeast Asia, some countries, such as Northeast Asia, some countries, the situation in the world hot spots, we can clearly see this point. This does not enumerate.
(C) show the global chaos, the new threats facing increased.

In the foreseeable time in their history, the world will have to face a strategic unstable. Instability of this strategy, perhaps 5 years, maybe 10, maybe 20 years duration, mainly depends on more than one super-strong rivalry with the outcome and the gains and losses. We focus to see two things: One, an ultra-how strategic defense, strong in the face of multiple attack, a super-how to deal with this challenge, this is crucial. Second, to see how many strong strategic synergy between the concerted challenge to U.S. global power. If you own challenge, and perhaps was all broken up and challenging the United States certainly a loss, unable to cope, had to compromise and concession.

Haha, chat now, more than one opinion entirely, as of right, the world’s development will prove.

Concerned countries, preferred strategy. Lung Kai Feng personal blog: http://blog.sina.com.cn/u/1229517775

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